National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 0
Warrington Town

Lloyd (54'), Hilton (66')
Moore (71'), Doyle (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McCourt (60'), Harris (71')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 2-0 Southport
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawWarrington Town
48.94%26.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.9% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)56.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southport 48.94%
    Warrington Town 24.78%
    Draw 26.27%
SouthportDrawWarrington Town
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.78%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Warrington Town
0-3
Southport
Bennett (12'), Carver (39'), Anson (77')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Southport
0-4
Warrington Town
Williams (45+1'), Duffy (49'), Soloman Cheidu Dixon (59'), Buckley-Ricketts (85')