National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands
Alfreton Town

Farsley Celtic
1 - 4
Alfreton

Silva (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Waldock (6', 43'), Day (40'), Salmon (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-0 Radcliffe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 2-3 Needham Market
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawAlfreton Town
22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)27.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)50.07% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.67% (0.004999999999999 0)82.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.5% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)44.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)80.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.023999999999994 0.02)60.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 22.15%
    Alfreton Town 50.06%
    Draw 27.78%
Farsley CelticDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.15%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 15.48%
0-2 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 50.06%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alfreton
2-1
Farsley Celtic
Hunt (76'), Abbey (90+5')
Lund (32'), Willis (83'), Cantrill (90+2')
Allan (26')
Merveil Ombang (38'), Sloane (65')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Farsley Celtic
2-3
Alfreton
Atkinson (45+5' pen.), Atkinson (62')
Day (23'), Waldock (29'), Lund (55')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Alfreton
2-0
Farsley Celtic
Thewlis (3'), Day (7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Alfreton
1-0
Farsley Celtic
Riley (83')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Farsley Celtic
0-0
Alfreton