Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 2
Kidderminster

FT(HT: 0-1)
McNally (36'), Morgan-Smith (83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Alfreton
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
25.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)27.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)46.76% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43% (0.068000000000005 0.07)58.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (0.053000000000001 0.05)79.13% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.104 0.1)38.44% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.097999999999999 0.1)75.2% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 25.97%
    Kidderminster Harriers 46.75%
    Draw 27.27%
Alfreton TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 13.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.75%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Kidderminster
0-1
Alfreton
Penny (79' og.)
Clackstone (33'), Abbey (73'), Cantrill (84')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Alfreton
1-1
Kidderminster
Rhead (86')
Bearne (21')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm