National League North | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Chorley

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Chorley

Hemmings (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carr (6'), Ellis (67')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Buxton
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChorley
56.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)25.16% (0.012 0.01)18.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)57.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.36% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.52% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)53.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 56.14%
    Chorley 18.68%
    Draw 25.16%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChorley
1-0 @ 14.7%
2-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.68%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chorley
2-1
Kidderminster
Wilson (44'), Ellis (53')
Hewitt (8'), Blakeman (57')
Brown (9')
McNally (76'), Foulkes (85')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Kidderminster
1-0
Chorley
Richards (25')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chorley
1-1
Kidderminster
Hall (81')
Hemmings (58')
Bajrami (51')