National League North
Gameweek
24
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F24%2Fcholog.png)
-
Mark Ellis
34'
-
True Grant
67'
-
Mike Calveley
85'
Chorley vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Chorley
44.44%
▲
(+1.59)
Draw
25.86%
▼
(-0.29)
Buxton
29.7%
▼
(-1.30)
Both Teams to Score:
52.73%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.77%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 2.5
51.23%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 3.5
26.94%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 3.5
73.07%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 4.5
12.61%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 4.5
87.39%
▼
(-0.36)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
77.03%
▲
(+1.05)
Under 0.5
22.97%
▼
(-1.05)
Over 1.5
43.24%
▲
(+1.52)
Under 1.5
56.77%
▼
(-1.51)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5
68.46%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
31.55%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 1.5
32.06%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
67.95%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Chorley
44.44%
Draw
25.85%
Buxton
29.7%
Chorley
1-0
@
10.66%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 44.44%
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 44.44%
Draw
1-1
@
12.29%
▼
(-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.85%
0-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.85%
Buxton
0-1
@
8.36%
▼
(-0.36)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.7%
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.7%
