Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 0
Buxton

Ellis (34'), Grant (67' og.), Calveley (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-3 Chorley
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Southport
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
44.44% (1.588 1.59)25.86% (-0.286 -0.29)29.7% (-1.298 -1.3)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.636 0.64)51.23% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.553 0.55)73.07% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (1.047 1.05)22.97% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (1.513 1.51)56.77% (-1.51 -1.51)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.596 -0.6)31.55% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.693 -0.69)67.95% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 44.44%
    Buxton 29.7%
    Draw 25.85%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.217 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Buxton
3-1
Chorley
De Girolamo (36' pen.), Shiels (56'), Hunt (73')
Wilson (73')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
3-2
Buxton
Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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