National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 3
P'boro Sports

Elliott (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jaiyesimi (11'), McCann (76'), Booth (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 2-4 Chester
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawPeterborough Sports
41.05% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.74% (-0.02 -0.02)33.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.5% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.077999999999999 0.08)71.53% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.051000000000002 0.05)23.87% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.075000000000003 0.08)58.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (0.040999999999997 0.04)28.31% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (0.051000000000002 0.05)64.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 41.05%
    Peterborough Sports 33.2%
    Draw 25.73%
BuxtonDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.2%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
P'boro Sports
1-0
Buxton
Fryatt (17')
Gash (3'), Jarvis (67')

Mann (29'), Elliott (37'), Kirby (76')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
P'boro Sports
1-3
Buxton
Jarvis (24')
Mottley-Henry (32', 90+1'), McCourt (39')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Buxton
2-2
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (16'), Burrow (78')
Fowkes (24'), McCammon (90+3')
Dec 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Buxton
3-0
P'boro Sports
De Girolamo (14' pen.), McKay (65'), Osborne (87')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
P'boro Sports
1-1
Buxton
Jarvis (33' pen.)
Barker (48')
Gilchrist (41')