National League North | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Chorley

Scarborough Ath
2 - 3
Chorley

Thornton (34'), Purver (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eze (44'), Calveley (63'), Ellis (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-4 Chester
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawChorley
39.82% (-2.823 -2.82)26.24% (0.301 0.3)33.94% (2.522 2.52)
Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-0.584 -0.58)51.45% (0.58300000000001 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-0.511 -0.51)73.26% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (-1.708 -1.71)25.39% (1.707 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-2.4 -2.4)60.2% (2.399 2.4)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (1.362 1.36)28.79% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (1.666 1.67)64.64% (-1.667 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 39.82%
    Chorley 33.94%
    Draw 26.23%
Scarborough AthleticDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.54 -0.54)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.82%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.375 0.38)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.534 0.53)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.269 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.301 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 1% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.94%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Chorley
1-2
Scarborough Ath
Hewitt (10')
Hewitt (36')
Bennett (50'), Mulhern (90+2')
Weledji (28'), Purver (54'), Mulhern (90+3'), Wilson (90+4')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Chorley
3-0
Scarborough Ath
Hazlehurst (45+1'), Calveley (56'), Ubaezuonu (86')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Scarborough Ath
1-1
Chorley
Weledji (59')
Ubaezuonu (27')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Chorley
2-3
Scarborough Ath
Blakeman (3'), Sampson (20')
Weledji (10'), Greenfield (69', 77')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Scarborough Ath
3-2
Chorley
Weledji (55'), Coulson (58'), Maloney (64')
Hall (71'), Ustabasi (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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