National League North | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
2 - 4
Chester

Tear (27', 66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Roberts (44'), Thornton (61' og.), Weeks (73' pen.), Mooney (90+5')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-5 Scarborough Ath
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 1-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Scarborough Athletic	Draw	Chester FC
32.72% ( 0.04)	26.12% ( 0.01)	41.17% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.04)

51.22% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

-0.04)

73.06% (

0.04)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

29.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

65.48% (

-0)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.05)

24.58% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92% (

-0.06)

59.07% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Scarborough Athletic 32.72%

Chester FC 41.16%

Draw 26.11%

Scarborough Athletic	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.72%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.16%