National League North Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Luke Brennan 31' goal
  • Luke Brennan 51' goal
  • goal Luke Brennan 76'

Buxton vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
Darlington 0 - 1 Buxton
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Luke Brennan

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
Southport 1 - 4 Spennymoor
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result

Buxton 49.84% (+0.17)
Draw 25.46% (+0.01)
Southport 24.69% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.24% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 52.76% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 25.61% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 74.39% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 11.74% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.25% (+0.09)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 78.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.18% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.93% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.06% (-0.01)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 63.64% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 36.36% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 26.85% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 73.14% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Buxton 49.84%
Draw 25.45%
Southport 24.69%
Buxton
1-0 @ 11.95% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.38% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.7% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.45%
Southport
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Sonny Hilton 14' goal
  • Danny Lloyd 54' goal
  • David Morgan 90' goal
  • goal Josh Popoola 19'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Ravenhill 87'
  • goal Kieran Burton 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 36' goal
  • Richie Bennett 90' goal
  • Luke Burgess 90' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ben Andreucci 20'
  • goal Ben Andreucci 47'
National League North Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Mikey O'Neil 5'
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 77' goal
National League North Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Niall Watson 90'+1' goal
  • goal Connor Kirby 45'+3'
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 62'
  • goal Samuel Osborne 74'
  • goal Jason Gilchrist 90'+4'