National League North | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Southport

Brennan (31', 51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brennan (76' pen.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 1-4 Spennymoor
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Southport
49.84% ( 0.17)	25.46% ( 0.01)	24.69% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

-0.16)

52.76% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-0.14)

74.39% (

0.14)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

0.01)

21.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93% (

0.01)

54.06% (

-0.01)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

-0.24)

36.36% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

-0.25)

73.14% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Buxton 49.84%

Southport 24.69%

Draw 25.45%

Buxton	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.84%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.69%