National League North | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
0 - 1
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brennan (11' pen.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Marine AFC 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Buxton
40.39% ( -1.3)	26.97% ( 0.39)	32.63% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

-1.3)

54.7% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

-1.09)

76.02% (

1.09)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-1.29)

26.58% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-1.73)

61.79% (

1.73)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

-0.05)

31.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0.05)

67.62% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Darlington 40.39%

Buxton 32.63%

Draw 26.97%

Darlington	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.39%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.63%