Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.