National League North Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • goal Owen Lunt 26'
  • goal Tom Moore 50'

Alfreton Town vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
Farsley Celtic 1 - 4 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 48.18% (+0.22)
Draw 27.7% (+0.32)
Southport 24.12% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.48% (-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.84% (-1.38)
Under 2.5 61.16% (+1.38)
Over 3.5 18.89% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 81.11% (+1.04)
Over 4.5 7.7% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 92.29% (+0.59)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.44% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 25.55% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 39.58% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 60.42% (+0.71)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 58.4% (-1.29)
Under 0.5 41.59% (+1.29)
Over 1.5 21.92% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 78.08% (+1.15)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 48.18%
Draw 27.69%
Southport 24.12%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 14.5% (+0.53)
2-0 @ 9.89% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 48.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.62% (+0.53)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.69%
Southport
0-1 @ 9.32% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Philliskirk 18' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 53' goal
  • Danny Lloyd 63' goal
  • Keenan Quansah 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Salam 38'
  • goal Billy Whitehouse 70'
National League North Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Markus Carver 24' goal
  • Markus Carver 45'+7' goal
  • goal Liam Waldock 12'
  • goal Jake Day 88'
  • goal Gerry McDonagh 90'
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Lewis Salmon 1' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 17' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 74' goal
  • goal Keenan Quansah 34'
National League North Gameweek 29
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 32' goal
  • Dayle Southwell 40' goal
  • Fraser Preston 45'+1' goal
  • Dayle Southwell 67' goal
National League North Gameweek 34
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Matt Rhead 50' goal
  • Dayle Southwell 64' goal
  • goal Dylan Vassallo 24'
  • goal Charlie Munro 29'