National League North | Gameweek 26

Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 2
Warrington Town

White (5', 50'), Campbell (39')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Williams (14'), Doro (37')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Warrington Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leamington 2-0 Warrington Town
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Warrington Town
48.47% ( 0.22)	26.69% ( 0.09)	24.84% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 46.78% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-0.53)

57.24% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

-0.43)

78.09% (

0.43)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.13)

23.68% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.19)

57.79% (

0.19)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

-0.57)

38.71% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

-0.55)

75.45% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 48.47%

Warrington Town 24.84%

Draw 26.69%

Hereford United	Draw	Warrington Town
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.47%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 24.84%