National League North | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 2
Brackley Town

Williams (50', 66' pen.), Andoh (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hall (44'), Lowe (70')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Hereford
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 4-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Brackley Town
39.96% ( -0.04)	27.47% ( 0)	32.56% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.37% (

-0)

56.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.4% (

-0)

77.6%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

-0.02)

27.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.03)

63.28% (

0.02)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

0.02)

32.3% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

0.02)

68.81% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 39.96%

Brackley Town 32.55%

Draw 27.47%

Hereford United	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.55%