Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.