Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.