Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.