National League North | Gameweek 26

Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St. James' Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Needham Market

Hall (48' pen.), Okafor (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Allen (44')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 3-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Needham Market

All competitions

Last Game: Needham Market 2-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Needham Market
61.59% ( 0.51)	22.61% ( -0.09)	15.81% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 45.24% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

-0.31)

52.35% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

-0.27)

74.04% (

0.27)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

0.06)

16.55% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

0.12)

46.32% (

-0.12)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.74)

45.78% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

-0.58)

81.55% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 61.58%

Needham Market 15.81%

Draw 22.6%

Brackley Town	Draw	Needham Market
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 61.58%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.81%