National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • William Thornton 28' goal

Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Scarborough Ath 5 - 0 Needham Market
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Dom Tear

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Rushall Olympic 1 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Yusifu Ceesay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scarborough Athletic in this match.

Result

Scarborough Athletic 47.64% (+0.01)
Draw 25.75% (-0.05)
Hereford United 26.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.49% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 52.5% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 25.82% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 74.17% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.88% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 88.11% (-0.10)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 77.96% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 22.04% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 44.63% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 55.37% (-0.13)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 34.6% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 28.68% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 71.32% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Scarborough Athletic 47.64%
Draw 25.74%
Hereford United 26.61%
Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.67% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.74%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.61%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 11
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jaiden White 25' goal
  • Jason Cowley 69' yellowcard
  • Matt Preston 69' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hudson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Thornton 43'
  • yellowcard Dom Tear 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Maloney 76'
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Harry Green 25' goal
  • Harry Green 61' goal
  • Harry Green 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Jason Cowley 40'
National League North Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Alex Babos 33' goal
  • Jason Cowley 48' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 79' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 74'
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Orrin Pendley 18' goal
  • Miles Storey 46' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Luke Haines 66' goal