National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
1 - 0
Hereford

Thornton (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 5-0 Needham Market
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-0 Hereford
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scarborough Athletic in this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
47.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.75% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)26.61% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.49% (0.18 0.18)52.5% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (0.153 0.15)74.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.076999999999998 0.08)22.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (0.119 0.12)55.37% (-0.12 -0.12)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.123 0.12)34.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.13 0.13)71.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 47.64%
    Hereford United 26.61%
    Draw 25.74%
Scarborough AthleticDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.61%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Hereford
1-0
Scarborough Ath
White (25')
Cowley (69'), Preston (69'), Hudson (90+4')

Thornton (43'), Tear (65'), Maloney (76')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Scarborough Ath
3-0
Hereford
Green (25', 61', 90+4' pen.)

Cowley (40')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hereford
3-1
Scarborough Ath
Babos (33'), Cowley (48'), Ceesay (79')
Mulhern (74' pen.)
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Hereford
2-0
Scarborough Ath
Pendley (18'), Storey (46')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Hereford
Haines (66' og.)