Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.