National League North | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Angus (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Southport
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
28.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)27.42% (0.025000000000002 0.03)43.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 47.55% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)57.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)78.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.049999999999997 0.05)35.62% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (0.052 0.05)72.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)26.14% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (-0.119 -0.12)61.21% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southport 28.77%
    Curzon Ashton 43.8%
    Draw 27.41%
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.8%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Southport
0-1
Curzon Ashton
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southport
0-3
Curzon Ashton
Spencer (7', 84'), Mols (28')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
3-2
Southport
Mols (45+2'), Hughes (70'), Spencer (82')
Holmes (13'), Flowers (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southport
2-1
Curzon Ashton
Archer (22', 38')
Walker (62')