Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Southport had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Radcliffe would win this match.