National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Chorley

Curzon Ashton
3 - 0
Chorley

Curran (18'), Spencer (86', 90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Radcliffe 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Chester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawChorley
43.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)26.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)29.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.34% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.0030000000000001 0)60% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)33.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 43.48%
    Chorley 29.62%
    Draw 26.88%
Curzon AshtonDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.62%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Chorley
0-3
Curzon Ashton

Powell (80'), Clarke (81')
Wilson (58')
Mols (50'), Spencer (64'), Sinclair (71')
Richards (2'), Griffiths (47'), Spencer (58'), Mahon (75'), Hayhurst (88'), Sobowale (90+1')
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
Chorley
0-0
Curzon Ashton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Chorley win 4-2 on penalties)
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Chorley
4-0
Curzon Ashton
Richards (6' og.), Rus (34'), Johnson (52'), Hazlehurst (86')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Curzon Ashton
0-1
Chorley
Johnson (45')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Chorley
Peers (8'), Campbell (44')
Sampson (89')