Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 1
South Shields

Touray (21'), Ellis (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (90+5')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 4-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

South Shields

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 5-1 South Shields
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawSouth Shields
49.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)26.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.012 -0.01)18.47% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)49.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 49.82%
    South Shields 26.12%
    Draw 24.07%
ChorleyDrawSouth Shields
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 26.12%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
South Shields
3-3
Chorley
Heaney (52'), Hodgson (56', 90+5')
Hodgson (18'), Broadbent (23'), Shepherd (80'), Jenkins (90+5')
Hall (10'), Touray (15'), Ellis (68')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
South Shields
2-1
Chorley
Martin (21'), Stephenson (90+4')
Ubaezuonu (47')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Chorley
2-1
South Shields
Calveley (31'), Ubaezuonu (68')
Blackett (45+3')