Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Brackley Town
40.59%	26.91% ( -0)	32.5%

Both teams to score 50.61% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

54.49% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15%

75.85% (

-0)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63%

26.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48%

61.52% (

-0)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74%

31.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

67.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chorley 40.58%

Brackley Town 32.5%

Draw 26.91%

Chorley	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.5%