National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 15' goal
  • Mike Calveley 45'+2' goal
  • Mike Calveley 78' goal
  • Mark Ellis 90'+1' goal
  • goal Scott Pollock 68'

Chorley vs Brackley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Kidderminster 1 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Brackley Town 1 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result

Chorley 40.59%
Draw 26.91% (-0.01)
Brackley Town 32.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.61% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.51% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.49% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.15%
Under 3.5 75.85% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.82%
Under 4.5 89.17% (-0.01)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 73.63%
Under 0.5 26.37% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.48%
Under 1.5 61.52% (-0.01)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.74%
Under 0.5 31.26% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.6% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Chorley 40.58%
Draw 26.91%
Brackley Town 32.5%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.91%
Brackley Town
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Zak Lilley 22' yellowcard
  • Tyler Lyttle 82' yellowcard
  • Tommy O'Sullivan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Henley 31'
  • yellowcard Mark Ellis 50'
  • goal Jack Sampson 53'
  • goal Jack Sampson 85'
  • yellowcard Matthew Urwin 89'
National League North
Apr 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Riccardo Calder 78' goal
National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Morgan Roberts 7' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 61' goal
  • goal Alfie Bates 41'
  • redcard Morgan Roberts 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Levi Amantchi 34' goal
  • goal Connor Hall 51'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium