National League North | Gameweek 25

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Bloomfields

Needham Market
2 - 3
Curzon Ashton

Ingram (78'), Hammond (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Curran (68'), Spencer (73'), Poscha (82')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Needham Market and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Needham Market

All competitions

Last Game: Needham Market 1-2 Buxton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Needham Market	Draw	Curzon Ashton
28.27% ( 2.02)	27.48% ( 0.49)	44.25% ( -2.51)

Both teams to score 47.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.93% (

-0.67)

58.07% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25% (

-0.53)

78.75% (

0.54)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

1.31)

36.25% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

1.3)

73.03% (

-1.3)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-1.55)

26.1% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

-2.12)

61.16% (

2.13)

Score Analysis

Needham Market 28.27%

Curzon Ashton 44.24%

Draw 27.47%

Needham Market	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.27%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.24%