National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Hayhurst (13' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curran (16')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-1 Chester
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
51.86% (0.052999999999997 0.05)25.94% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)22.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.13% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.103 0.1)56.68% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.083000000000002 0.08)77.64% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.067999999999998 0.07)21.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.101 0.1)55.2% (-0.102 -0.1)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.91% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.035 0.04)77.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 51.85%
    Curzon Ashton 22.19%
    Draw 25.93%
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.19%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Curzon Ashton
4-0
Chester
Matthews (2'), Afuye (20'), Mols (27' pen.), Buckley-Ricketts (63')
Richards (53')

Woodthorpe (26'), Hancox (89')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chester
0-0
Curzon Ashton
Burton (69')
Spencer (84')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chester
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Williams (78'), Willoughby (90+1')
Peers (18'), Mahon (66')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Curzon Ashton
1-2
Chester
Peers (51')
Kenyon (22'), Willoughby (67')