National League North | Gameweek 39

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 0
Leamington

Rawlinson (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 3-1 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Leamington FC

All competitions

Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 12.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.52%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Leamington FC
64.36% ( 0.13)	23.36% ( -0.07)	12.28% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 35.49% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.12% (

0.13)

60.89% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.09% (

0.09)

80.91% (

-0.09)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

0.1)

18.67% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

0.16)

50% (

-0.16)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.64% (

-0.02)

56.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.32% (

-0.01)

88.68% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 64.35%

Leamington FC 12.28%

Draw 23.35%

Chester FC	Draw	Leamington FC
1-0 @ 17.65% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 64.35%	0-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.35%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.28%