Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.52%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.