National League North | Gameweek 38

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 1
Warrington Town

Peers (23' pen.), O'Kane (76'), Mooney (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

James (12')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Chester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Warrington Town

All competitions

Last Game: Warrington Town 2-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Warrington Town
65.93% ( 0.03)	21.66% ( 0.01)	12.42% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 39.88% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02% (

-0.12)

54.98% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

-0.1)

76.26% (

0.1)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

-0.03)

16% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.68% (

-0.05)

45.32% (

0.05)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.47% (

-0.14)

52.52% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.65% (

-0.09)

86.34% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 65.91%

Warrington Town 12.42%

Draw 21.66%

Chester FC	Draw	Warrington Town
1-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 65.91%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.42%