Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.