Scunthorpe United
National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
3 - 1
Chester

Roberts (36'), Kelly (56'), Fadera (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Willoughby (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scunthorpe United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChester FC
45.92% (0.124 0.12)26.81% (-0.023 -0.02)27.26% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)56.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)77.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.072999999999993 0.07)24.42% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.102 0.1)58.85% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)36.04% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.067 -0.07)72.82% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 45.91%
    Chester FC 27.26%
    Draw 26.81%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Chester
0-0
Scunthorpe
Woodthorpe (14'), Glendon (68')
Beestin (35')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Scunthorpe
2-2
Chester
McAlinden (59'), Butterfield (82')
McAlinden (68')
Tollitt (29'), Glendon (65')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Chester
2-0
Scunthorpe
Caton (31'), Whitehouse (68')
Dec 26, 2004 3pm
Chester
1-1
Scunthorpe
Ellison (19')
Bayliss (24'), Ellison (75'), Bolland (88')
Torpey (3')
Baraclough (39'), Sparrow (89')
Sep 11, 2004 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-2
Chester
Butler (76')
Bolland (31'), Ellison (24')
Carden (64'), Drummond (69'), Edmondson (83')
Belle (81')