Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.