National League North | Gameweek 38

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 2
Scunthorpe

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ubaezuonu (36'), Scales (70')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Scunthorpe United
24.76% ( 0.05)	27.09% ( 0)	48.14% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.63% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.31% (

0.01)

58.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.77% (

0.01)

79.23% (

-0.01)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.41% (

0.05)

39.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

0.04)

76.28% (

-0.04)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-0.02)

24.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

-0.03)

58.92% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 24.76%

Scunthorpe United 48.14%

Draw 27.09%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.76%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.14%