Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.

Result
South Shields	Draw	Alfreton Town
49.26% ( 3.41)	26.15% ( -0.16)	24.59% ( -3.25)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55% (

-1.49)

55.45% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36% (

-1.24)

76.64% (

1.24)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

0.93)

22.55% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

1.37)

56.14% (

-1.37)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06% (

-3.56)

37.94% (

3.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

-3.62)

74.71% (

3.62)

Score Analysis

South Shields 49.26%

Alfreton Town 24.59%

Draw 26.15%

South Shields	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 1.05) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 1.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.34) Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.59%