Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.