National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bloomfields

Needham Market
4 - 0
Oxford City

Allen (16'), Lay (43'), McGrath (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Needham Market and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Needham Market 0-2 Hereford
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Needham Market would win this match.

Result
Needham MarketDrawOxford City
36.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)35.49% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.43% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)77.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)29.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.32% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.45% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Needham Market 36.99%
    Oxford City 35.49%
    Draw 27.51%
Needham MarketDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.99%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 35.49%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford City
3-0
Needham Market
Parker (24'), Fleet (29'), McEachran (65')
Coyle (74'), Parker (83')

Jessup (87')
Morphew (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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