National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
4 - 1
Needham Market

Hemmings (33', 63', 90+6'), Kouhyar (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chambers (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Needham Market

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Needham Market
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 69.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.93%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawNeedham Market
69.54% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)19.49% (0.019000000000002 0.02)10.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.62% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)49.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (-0.012 -0.01)13.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.96% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.04% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (0.061 0.06)52.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)86.02% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 69.53%
    Needham Market 10.97%
    Draw 19.49%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawNeedham Market
2-0 @ 14.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2%
4-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 69.53%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 19.49%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 10.97%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Needham Market
0-3
Kidderminster

Hammond (14'), Hunter (64')
Hemmings (33', 54'), Davis (43')
Davis (51'), Brown (58')
rhs 2.0


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