Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Needham Market	Draw	Chorley
29.99% ( -0.07)	28.59% ( 0.01)	41.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75% (

-0.07)

61.25% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82% (

-0.05)

81.18% (

0.05)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

-0.09)

36.63% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

-0.1)

73.42% (

0.1)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0)

29.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0)

65.04% (

Score Analysis

Needham Market 29.98%

Chorley 41.43%

Draw 28.57%

Needham Market	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 29.98%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 41.43%