Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Darlington

Salmon (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornish (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
42.92% (0.189 0.19)27.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09)29.39% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.434 -0.43)58.35% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.341 -0.34)78.96% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.101 -0.1)26.92% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.134 -0.13)62.24% (0.133 0.13)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)35.52% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.467 -0.47)72.28% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.91%
    Darlington 29.39%
    Draw 27.68%
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Alfreton vs Darlington

Alfreton Town
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Darlington
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Darlington
0-0
Alfreton
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Darlington
0-2
Alfreton
McDonagh (47' pen.), Day (90+2')
Cantrill (88')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Alfreton
2-3
Darlington
Day (49'), Thewlis (80')
Nelson (17'), Barnes (66', 72')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alfreton
2-2
Darlington
Rhead (45'), Ceesay (72')
Hazel (5'), Felix (17')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Darlington
3-1
Alfreton
Leesley (22'), Hazel (25'), Felix (90+12')
Lawlor (85' og.)