MX23RW : Friday, March 21 17:59:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Darlington

Salmon (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornish (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
42.92% (0.189 0.19) 27.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 29.39% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.434 -0.43)58.35% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.341 -0.34)78.96% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.101 -0.1)26.92% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.134 -0.13)62.24% (0.133 0.13)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)35.52% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.467 -0.47)72.28% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.91%
    Darlington 29.39%
    Draw 27.68%
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Alfreton vs Darlington

Alfreton Town
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Darlington
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Darlington
0-2
Alfreton
McDonagh (47' pen.), Day (90+2')
Cantrill (88')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Alfreton
2-3
Darlington
Day (49'), Thewlis (80')
Nelson (17'), Barnes (66', 72')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alfreton
2-2
Darlington
Rhead (45'), Ceesay (72')
Hazel (5'), Felix (17')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Darlington
3-1
Alfreton
Leesley (22'), Hazel (25'), Felix (90+12')
Lawlor (85' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe392112663273675
2Chester FCChester392110861372473
3Brackley Town382251160392171
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster382171066313570
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton371981049282165
6Buxton392041565461964
7Chorley3818101059461364
8Hereford UnitedHereford391891253411263
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn39189124541463
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor3715121060411957
11Darlington381512114642457
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports391511134944556
13South Shields39164195761-452
14Leamington FCLeamington38148164946350
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath381310155650649
16SouthportSouthport391211163951-1247
17Marine AFC39138183649-1347
18Alfreton TownAlfreton381210164653-746
19RadcliffeRadcliffe381110174962-1343
20Oxford CityOxford City37912164466-2239
21Needham Market3999213861-2336
22Warrington Town38612203155-2430
23Rushall Olympic3986253483-4930
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3875263085-5526


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