National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
4 - 1
Darlington

Gyasi (3', 72'), Atherton (32'), Jaiyesimi (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bakre (41')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 South Shields
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Radcliffe
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 26.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawDarlington
46.7% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)26.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)77.66% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.99% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.012 0.01)73.78% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 46.7%
    Darlington 26.46%
    Draw 26.83%
Peterborough SportsDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-0 @ 9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.46%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Darlington
2-2
P'boro Sports
Barrow (58'), Lees (90+1')
Forbes (80'), Kelly (80'), Barrow (88')
Gyasi (13'), Felix (61')
Van Lier (34'), Alban Jones (72'), McCann (90')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
P'boro Sports
2-0
Darlington
Gallagher (35'), C. (55')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Darlington
2-0
P'boro Sports
Beck (7', 60')