Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.