National League North | Gameweek 30

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
2 - 1
Darlington

Dyson (59'), Rutledge (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (90+4' pen.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions

Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Marine AFC
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 2-4 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Darlington
52.28% ( 0.1)	25.59% ( 0.01)	22.13% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.03% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53% (

-0.15)

55.46% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34% (

-0.12)

76.65% (

0.12)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.02)

21.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-0.03)

54.17% (

0.03)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

-0.2)

40.28% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

-0.18)

76.9% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 52.26%

Darlington 22.13%

Draw 25.58%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.13%