Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.