Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
P'boro Sports

Salmon (3', 3', 76', 76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Leamington
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawPeterborough Sports
42.87% (0.041000000000004 0.04)26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)30.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.21% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.02300000000001 0.02)25.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)60.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)33.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)69.62% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.86%
    Peterborough Sports 30.28%
    Draw 26.85%
Alfreton TownDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.86%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
P'boro Sports
3-1
Alfreton
Gyasi (84', 90+2', 90+6' pen.)
Day (37')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
P'boro Sports
1-1
Alfreton
Lawler (71' pen.)
Waldock (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Alfreton
2-1
P'boro Sports
Lund (30'), Salmon (88')
Nicholson (34')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
P'boro Sports
1-2
Alfreton
Crawford (18')
Southwell (24'), Rhead (51')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Alfreton
2-2
P'boro Sports
Preston (37'), Rhead (90+4')
Fryatt (57'), Lawler (87' pen.)