Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.