National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • James Butler 20' goal
  • Josh Wardle 58' goal
  • goal Michael Gash 13'

Marine AFC vs Peterborough Sports - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 0 - 1 Marine AFC
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Finlay Sinclair-Smith

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 4 - 1 Darlington
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Michael Gyasi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result

Marine AFC 37.29% (+0.68)
Draw 27.21% (-0.19)
Peterborough Sports 35.5% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.21% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.76% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 55.24% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 23.53% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 76.47% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 10.44% (+0.37)
Under 4.5 89.56% (-0.37)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 71.4% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 28.6% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 35.61% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 64.39% (-0.94)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5 70.32% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 29.68% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.27% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.73% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 37.28%
Draw 27.21%
Peterborough Sports 35.49%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.08% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.65% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-98.55)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
Peterborough Sports
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.49%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lincoln Road
  • Jack Goodman 52' yellowcard
  • Peter Crook 71' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jarvis 73' goal
  • Dion Sembie-Ferris 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard James Butler 43'