National League North | Gameweek 38

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
1 - 0
Southport

Wardle (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 Marine AFC
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 0-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marine AFC in this match.

Result
Marine AFC	Draw	Southport
45.98% ( -0.03)	27.16% ( -0.01)	26.86% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.33% (

0.04)

57.67% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57% (

0.03)

78.43% (

-0.03)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

25.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

0.01)

59.73% (

-0)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

0.05)

37.19% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

0.05)

73.98% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Marine AFC 45.97%

Southport 26.86%

Draw 27.16%

Marine AFC	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.97%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.86%