Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.65% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.34%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.