Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.