Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akron Tolyatti in this match.

Result
Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Fakel
48.26% ( 0.07)	27.3% ( 0.01)	24.44% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39% (

-0.1)

59.6% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06% (

-0.07)

79.94% (

0.07)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

-0.01)

24.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.6% (

-0.01)

59.4% (

0.01)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.59% (

-0.13)

40.4% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98% (

-0.12)

77.02% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Akron Tolyatti 48.26%

Fakel 24.44%

Draw 27.29%

Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.44%