Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 15, 2025 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Fakel

Orenburg
1 - 0
Fakel

Savelyev (86'), Bozhin (90+4' og.)
Basic (21'), Tataev (68'), Savelyev (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ivlev (44'), Kvekveskiri (67')
Mertens (53')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Rostov
Saturday, March 8 at 9am in Russian Premier League

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Fakel 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, March 8 at 11.30am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawFakel
52.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)21.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.78% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42%21.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.13%41.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 52.87%
    Fakel 21.36%
    Draw 25.77%
OrenburgDrawFakel
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.36%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Fakel
1-0
Orenburg
Giorgobiani (62')
Brahimi (36'), Dziov (48'), Gudiev (87'), Bozhin (88')

Basic (16'), Malykh (28'), Sidorov (45+1'), Prokhin (80')
Mar 31, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 22
Fakel
0-0
Orenburg
Alshin (4'), Magal (49')
Mikhailov (29')
Oct 21, 2023 10am
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
1-2
Fakel
Vorobyev (76')
Basic (17'), Gojkovic (33'), Mansilla (63'), Sysuev (90')
Alshin (35'), Motpan (90+2')
Markov (45+3'), Masternoy (74')
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Fakel
1-3
Orenburg
Gongadze (32' pen.)
Ektov (23'), Mansilla (45+5' pen.), Kaplenko (61')
Oct 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Orenburg
4-1
Fakel
Marin (42', 44'), Florentin (57'), Mansilla (83' pen.)
Maksimov (86')
rhs 2.0


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