Mar 15, 2025 9.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Ivan Basic 21'
Aleksey Tataev 68'
75'
Maksim Savelyev 86'
Maksim Savelyev 89'
Sergey Bozhin 90'+4'

Andrey Ivlev 44'
Dylan Mertens 53'
Irakli Kvekveskiri 67'

Orenburg vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

Russian Premier League

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 8, 2025 9.00am

Orenburg 1 - 2 Rostov

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin

Fakel

All competitions

L
L
L
D
D
L

Russian Premier League

L
L
L
D
D
L

Last game

Mar 8, 2025 11.30am

Fakel 0 - 2 Zenit

Goals scored

14

Top scorer

Yevgeni Markov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result

Orenburg 52.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 25.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Fakel 21.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

45.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 56.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 22.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 77.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 9.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 90.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 78.42%

Under 0.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 45.34% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 54.66% ▼ (-0.01)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 58.13%

Under 0.5 41.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 21.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 78.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Orenburg 52.87%

Draw 25.77%

Fakel 21.36%

Orenburg

1-0 @ 13.85%

2-0 @ 10.62%

2-1 @ 9.25%

3-0 @ 5.43%

3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 2.08%

3-2 @ 2.06%

4-1 @ 1.81%

Other @ 3.04%

Total : 52.87%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.06%

0-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 4.03%

Other @ 0.65%

Total : 25.77%

Fakel

0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.25%

0-2 @ 3.42%

1-3 @ 1.52%

2-3 @ 1.17%

Other @ 2.12%

Total : 21.36%

Head to Head

Aug 24, 2024 3.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Mohamed Brahimi 36'
Maks Dziov 48'
Nikolai Giorgobiani 62'
Vitaliy Gudiev 87'
Sergey Bozhin 88'

Ivan Basic 16'
Andrey Malykh 28'
Maksim Sidorov 45'+1'
Danila Prokhin 80'

Mar 31, 2024 12.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Ilnur Alshin 4'
47'
Ruslan Magal 49'

Yaroslav Mikhailov 29'

Oct 21, 2023 10.00am

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Stadion Gazovik

Ivan Basic 17'
Renato Gojkovic 33'
Braian Mansilla 63'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 76'
Nikolay Sysuev 90'

Ilnur Alshin 35'
Yevgeni Markov 45'+3'
Vladislav Masternoy 74'
Nichita Motpan 90'+2'

Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Georgy Gongadze 32'

Aleksandr Ektov 23'
Braian Mansilla 45'+5'
Kirill Kaplenko 61'

Oct 28, 2022 3.00pm

4

1

HT : 2 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Jimmy Marin 42'
Jimmy Marin 44'
Cesar Florentin 57'
Braian Mansilla 83'

Maksim Maksimov 86'

Form Data

Orenburg 1 - 2 Rostov

Spartak Moscow 2 - 0 Orenburg

Akhmat Grozny 1 - 0 Orenburg

Akron 1 - 0 Orenburg

Orenburg 0 - 1 Zenit

Makhachkala 2 - 1 Orenburg

Fakel 0 - 2 Zenit

Khimki 1 - 0 Fakel

Fakel 0 - 1 CSKA

Makhachkala 0 - 0 Fakel

Fakel 1 - 1 Dynamo Moscow

Lokomotiv 2 - 1 Fakel