Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2025 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Khimki
  • Edgardo Farina 15' goal
  • Dani Fernandez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mertens 69'

Khimki vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Khimki

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 11.00am
Dynamo Moscow 4 - 1 Khimki
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Lucas Vera

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
Fakel 0 - 1 CSKA
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Yevgeni Markov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Khimki in this match.

Result

Khimki 42.77% (+0.58)
Draw 27.01% (-0.24)
Fakel 30.22% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.45% (+0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.42% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 55.58% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 23.25% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 76.75% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 10.27% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 89.73% (-0.37)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5 74.27% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 25.72% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 39.35% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 60.65% (-0.87)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 66.57% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 33.43% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 29.94% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 70.06% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Khimki 42.76%
Draw 27.01%
Fakel 30.22%
Khimki
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.33% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.22% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.01%
Fakel
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.22%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Vladimir Ilyin 31' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Brahimi 38' goal
  • Ihor Kalinin 69' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Rudenko 4'
  • yellowcard Alexander Rudenko 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Mar 3, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Georgy Gongadze 44' goal
  • goal Marcos Guilherme 21'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2022 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rodina