Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 11am UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
2 - 1
Fakel

Batrakov (29' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Samoshnikov (73'), Batrakov (75'), Barinov (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Markov (84')
Kalinin (24')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Fakel

All competitions

Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Khimki
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 8.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.41%) and 3-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Fakel
73.82% ( -0.01)	17.35% ( 0)	8.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.27% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84% (

-0)

47.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61% (

-0)

69.4% (

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.77%

11.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.22% (

-0.01)

35.79% (

0.01)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.36% (

0.01)

54.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.33% (

0.01)

87.67% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 73.81%

Fakel 8.83%

Draw 17.35%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Fakel
2-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.41% 3-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 73.81%	1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.35%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 8.83%