Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.74%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 30.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.