Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 6
Aug 24, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
1 - 0
Orenburg

Giorgobiani (62')
Brahimi (36'), Dziov (48'), Gudiev (87'), Bozhin (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Basic (16'), Malykh (28'), Sidorov (45+1'), Prokhin (80')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-0 Fakel
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 3-2 Orenburg
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawOrenburg
33.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)38.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.65% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)59.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)33.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.029 0.03)70.1% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03%65.97%
Score Analysis
    Fakel 33.05%
    Orenburg 38.66%
    Draw 28.29%
FakelDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10%
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.66%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 22
Fakel
0-0
Orenburg
Alshin (4'), Magal (49')
Mikhailov (29')
Oct 21, 2023 10am
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
1-2
Fakel
Vorobyev (76')
Basic (17'), Gojkovic (33'), Mansilla (63'), Sysuev (90')
Alshin (35'), Motpan (90+2')
Markov (45+3'), Masternoy (74')
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Fakel
1-3
Orenburg
Gongadze (32' pen.)
Ektov (23'), Mansilla (45+5' pen.), Kaplenko (61')
Oct 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Orenburg
4-1
Fakel
Marin (42', 44'), Florentin (57'), Mansilla (83' pen.)
Maksimov (86')